The US betting markets are going heavily for Kerry. Surely only a reaction to the exit polling below, but the swing is huge. Best place to follow it is Crooked Timber (thanks to JQ for this suggestion).
I can’t help thinking that the media embargo on exit polling will be broken in the next US election. With no hint of the exit polling, who’d be checking the New York Times site (or, for that matter, the Sydney Morning Herald site) right now?
UPDATE: In Slate’s national exit poll, Kerry leads Bush 51-48 (3.16PT)