Monthly Archives: January 2005

Iraq Votes

I couldn’t be more delighted to see that the turnout in the Iraqi elections has amply exceeded the turnout in recent US elections (the SMH says 72%, though US papers were reporting slightly lower figures). For the sake of the … Continue reading

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Howard Approval

Much is being written these days about Howard’s recent high approval ratings. But what I find most interesting is not that the level is high — but rather that the volatility is markedly lower in recent years. According to Newspoll, … Continue reading

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Looking out for one's mates

Today’s SMH carries this snippet: But just as Beazley was ambling away to his waiting car, a reporter came racing up with the news Gillard had just gone public with her decision to pull out of the leadership race. A … Continue reading

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The Gentlemen is for Turning

Just finished Tim Winton’s The Turning. It’s amazing. Seventeen short stories about life on the WA coast, compellingly interweaved. I used to think that Peter Carey was Australia’s best living novellist. Now I think it’s Winton.

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And in the West….

…Centrebet has the two main parties in the WA state election in a dead heat, both pay $1.85 for a win. While Labor is down in the polls (neatly summed up in this oped by Peter van Onselen), Centrebet clearly … Continue reading

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Labor's odds shorten

With Mark Latham resigning, Centrebet has shortened the odds of a Labor victory at the next election (probably 2007) from $3.00 to $2.55. What does this mean? Taking into account the Coalition odds, and hence the bookies’ profit margin, Centrebet … Continue reading

Posted in Australian issues | 3 Comments

The Donahoo-Leigh Bets

Daniel Donahoo, a fellow at the thinktank OzProspect, recently wrote an article in New Matilda on our use of oil (the title is "Our Greatest Addiction" – alas you need to pay to view it). In the spirit of the … Continue reading

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Baaaack

Sorry about the blog break. Gweneth and I planned to spend a week in the US – her to visit her folks in Philadelphia, and me to attend the American Economic Association meetings. But the day after we landed, I … Continue reading

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