The bookies give this one a flying start

Tyler Cohen points us to Tradesports’ market for bird flu (click on "Current Events", then "Bird Flu").

Bird Flu to be confirmed in the U.S

BIRDFLU.USA.31DEC05
Bird flu to be confirmed in the USA ON/BEFORE

31st December 2005

M

36.0

39.8

39.0

624

+2.0

BIRDFLU.USA.31MAR06
Bird flu to be confirmed in the USA ON/BEFORE

31st March 2006

M

45.5

50.0

50.0

193

+1.0

The chances of bird flu being found in the US this year are still less than 50%. Trouble is, they’re rising fast – New Economist reported that the 31 Dec 2005 market was 15-18% only last Friday.

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1 Response to The bookies give this one a flying start

  1. Steve Edney says:

    Seems odd they don’t identify the strain. I’m sure they already have some versions of bird flu there already, in which case maybe I should lay some bets and contact my lawyers for the legal battle.

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