Odds 150 Updated

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3 Responses to Odds 150 Updated

  1. Sinclair Davidson says:

    If the ALP picks up all the seats where they have a 40% chance or better, they’ll win another 28 seats. So a comfortable majority.

    (Kennedy and New England should be coded Indep, not coalition).

  2. Andrew Leigh says:

    Sinc, thanks for the corrections. Unfortunately, WordPress goes berzerk if I try to edit these tables, so I’ll have to leave the errors there.

  3. Michael Potter says:

    Andrew & Sinclair – if we use a 50% threshold, then Labor wins 78 seats, Coalition 70 seats and Independents 2. Also a comfortable majority for Labor.
    It sounds like the individual seat betting is now in line with the betting for the overall winner.

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