Monthly Archives: August 2009

Too busy to stop for a bite

Reading this while eating lunch? You’re not alone… Grazing, Goods and Girth: Determinants and Effects (gated, sorry)  Daniel S. Hamermesh Using the 2006-07 American Time Use Survey and its Eating and Health Module, I show that over half of adult … Continue reading

Posted in Health economics

Just one more Dr Seuss story, or you’ll never get into Yale

Two new NBER working papers look at the  increasingly tough market to get into the best US colleges, and suggest that it may be having implications for high-schoolers, parents, and maybe even lil munchkins. (Both gated, sorry.) Playing the Admissions … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Australians more easily stimulated than Americans

I have a new paper out today, looking at the impact of the Australian 2009 household payments on expenditure. It uses a poll question contained in the June ‘ANU Poll’. Here’s the abstract (click on the title for the full … Continue reading

Posted in Macroeconomics | 5 Comments

Don’t trust a hedgehog to tell you about the future

I am a big fan of Philip Tetlock. From a recent article in The National Interest: What experts think—where they fall along the Left-Right spectrum—is a weak predictor of accuracy. But how experts think is a surprisingly consistent predictor. Relative … Continue reading

Posted in Prediction Markets

On bleeding and leading

My AFR oped today asks: does it matter for economic policy which individual leads a particular political party? The conclusion: not in most cases. Of course, a 750-word piece can only do justice to one strand of a vast literature. … Continue reading

Posted in Economics of Elections

Malvina Place is Hiring

The Grattan Institute is looking for Melbourne-based policy wonks with either analytical or communication skills. Job ad here. Closing date is Friday 28 August 2009, salary is $50-140k. The Institute’s head is former E*Trade CEO John Daley. Its 5 current … Continue reading

Posted in Jobs

Perry Goes to Dublin

On the topic of randomised social policy trials, UCD Dublin’s Professor Colm Harmon draws my attention to a symposium on evidence-based policy in Ireland (proceedings here), and a new randomised trial of early childhood intervention that’s now afoot. Details over … Continue reading

Posted in Economics of Education, Randomisation

A bettor way of forecasting the future

My Wryside Economics talk today was on prediction markets. If you’re interested, you can download it from the ABC website.

Posted in Prediction Markets

More Random Musings

I’m attending a Productivity Commission roundtable in Canberra today on the topic ‘Strengthening Evidence-Based Policy in the Australian Federation’. In an attempt to provoke, my paper is titled Evidence-Based Policy: Summon the Randomistas?. Full text here. I’ll have a month … Continue reading

Posted in Randomisation | 6 Comments

Pollie Pay

My Wryside Economics talk on politicians pay can be downloaded here. I’d also recommend Tanveer Ahmed’s discussion of why electro-convulsive therapy should be more common.

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Of Peanuts and Monkeys

My Life Matters Wryside Economics chat tomorrow will be on ABC Radio National, probably starting around 9.20/9.30am. I’ll be speaking about politicians’ pay.

Posted in Coming Events

Babies at the Ballot Box

Voters may say that baby-faced pollies look less competent, but they still seem to vote for them. From a new Finnish study: Faces of Politicians: Babyfacedness Predicts Inferred Competence but Not Electoral Success Panu Poutvaara, Henrik Jordahl and Niclas Berggren … Continue reading

Posted in Economics of Elections | 1 Comment