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Monthly Archives: April 2010
Turning Points
I’m fortunate to have been preselected as the ALP candidate for the federal seat of Fraser (AAP report here). I haven’t been discussing the preselection much on this blog, but it’s been the main thing occupying my attention over the … Continue reading
Posted in Australian Politics
29 Comments
France Wins Clark Medal Again
Congratulations to Esther Duflo, French-born development economist extraordinaire and winner of this year’s John Bates Clark medal for the best US economist under 40. If you’ve never heard of Esther, check out her academic website or the Poverty Action Lab … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
2 Comments
Of Becker and Mills, Picasso and Friedman
I was interviewed recently for the newsletter of the Economic Sociology Australia society.
Posted in Economics Generally
Comments Off on Of Becker and Mills, Picasso and Friedman
Did the Tampa Stop Beazley Becoming PM?
Writing on InsideStory, Peter Brent argues: But it is not clear that boat people really had much effect on the election result. When the Tampa arrived, the Howard government had already been steadily improving its opinion poll position from the … Continue reading
Posted in Australian Politics
1 Comment
Slow degrees, school vs jail, and cash 4 class
Three new economics papers offer interesting findings on important facets of education policy. Increasing Time to Baccalaureate Degree in the United States by John Bound, Michael Lovenheim, Sarah Turner Time to completion of the baccalaureate degree has increased markedly in … Continue reading
Posted in Economics of Education
3 Comments
Talking Sin
My Wryside Economics segment on ABC Radio National’s Life Matters program yesterday was on sin taxes. If you’re curious to catch up on it, you can listen to it here.
Posted in Health economics, Tax
Comments Off on Talking Sin
The Future Beaters
Inspired by the Netflix contest, Nicholas Gruen and Anthony Goldbloom have created Kaggle, a site where would-be predictors go head-to-head to build a model that best forecasts the future. You can read more about it at Club Troppo, and at … Continue reading
Posted in Prediction Markets
1 Comment
Risky Business
On 22 April, I’m launching a project at the ANU Crawford School titled ‘New Social Policy Approaches for Sharing Risk’. More information here, including a flyer.
Posted in Coming Events
Comments Off on Risky Business
A tired old story
My op-ed today is on the economics of sleep. Full text over the fold.
Posted in Health economics, Labour Economics
1 Comment
Everyone thinks they’re middle-class
Rob Bray points out to me some interesting data from 1999, in which Peter Saunders (SPRC, UNSW) asked respondents to place themselves in an income decile. Of course, 1/10th of the population falls in each decile, so if people are … Continue reading
Posted in Inequality
5 Comments
Prediction markets, where art thou?
I’ve been writing for nearly a decade (much of it with Justin Wolfers) about the predictive power of election betting markets. So why is it that now I’m running for ALP preselection in Fraser, none of the election betting websites … Continue reading
Posted in Australian Politics
6 Comments
Top Incomes in Australia, Updated
Some years ago, I published a paper with Tony Atkinson looking at trends in Australian top incomes since 1921. We’ve now updated the results to the 2007-08 tax year (the latest available from the ATO). Here’s the Excel spreadsheet. The … Continue reading
Posted in Inequality
Comments Off on Top Incomes in Australia, Updated
Social Mobility in China
Cathy Gong, Xin Meng and I have a new paper out, looking at intergenerational mobility in urban China. After making a bunch of adjustments to the data, we find a strikingly high intergenerational elasticity (implying a very low level of … Continue reading
Posted in Inequality
1 Comment
Mexican antipoverty program might work in the US too
Don Arthur alerts me to a new report from MDRC (the organisation that administers many of the US randomised trials) on Opportunity NYC, a conditional cash transfer program in New York city that’s based loosely on the Mexican Progresa/Oportunidades program. … Continue reading
What’s the Evidence on Evidence Based Policy?
Last year, the Productivity Commission ran an event on the topic ‘Strengthening Evidence-based Policy in the Australian Federation’, of which I was one of the participants (my contribution was titled: ‘Evidence-based policy: summon the randomistas?’). The PC has now produced … Continue reading